Wastenaut Intelligence
Municipal Waste Contract Renewal Forecast
A data-driven outlook on upcoming waste and recycling contract renewals across U.S. municipalities and federal agencies — including incumbent analysis, contract values, and predicted timelines.
4,367
Predicted renewals
next 18 months
next 18 months
$3.9B
Total contract value
coming to market
coming to market
285
Municipalities &
federal agencies
federal agencies
94%
With identified
current incumbent
current incumbent
Wastenaut's procurement intelligence system continuously monitors municipal RFP portals, federal contract databases, and state/local expenditure records to identify waste and recycling contracts approaching renewal. This report covers 4,367 predicted contract renewals worth an estimated $3.9B over the next 18 months.
Renewal Timeline by Quarter
| Quarter | Renewals | Est. Value |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 833 | $575.2M |
| Q3 2026 | 1,286 | $2.3B |
| Q4 2026 | 647 | $465.1M |
| Q1 2027 | 652 | $283.2M |
| Q2 2027 | 495 | $93.0M |
| Q3 2027 | 420 | $166.0M |
| Q4 2027 | 34 | $1.3M |
By Contract Type
| Contract Type | Renewals | Est. Value | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collection & Hauling | 1,723 | $578.6M | 39% |
| Facility Operations | 1,054 | $1.4B | 24% |
| Other Services | 698 | $24.8M | 16% |
| Consulting & Studies | 571 | $1.6B | 13% |
| Processing & Recycling | 279 | $136.2M | 6% |
| Transportation & Hauling | 42 | $93.9M | 1% |
Geographic Distribution — Top 20 States
| State / Jurisdiction | Renewals | Est. Value | Entities |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 669 | $108.0M | 21 |
| Maryland | 527 | $210.0M | 29 |
| Louisiana | 514 | $33.7M | 15 |
| Georgia | 271 | $55.6M | 109 |
| California | 223 | $169.1M | 51 |
| Federal Agencies | 156 | $45.5M | 9 |
| Virginia | 135 | $210.4M | 33 |
| Texas | 124 | $232.8M | 27 |
| New York | 96 | $68.7M | 32 |
| District of Columbia | 95 | $291.7M | 41 |
| Florida | 91 | $86.2M | 31 |
| Washington | 88 | $1.3B | 26 |
| Massachusetts | 83 | $164.4M | 20 |
| Ohio | 73 | $22.0M | 14 |
| Colorado | 63 | $54.3M | 22 |
| Oklahoma | 61 | $25.3M | 16 |
| South Carolina | 58 | $66.4M | 26 |
| Pennsylvania | 56 | $15.7M | 19 |
| Hawaii | 54 | $31.6M | 13 |
| Illinois | 53 | $155.5M | 15 |
Top Upcoming Renewals by Value
The highest-value waste and recycling contracts predicted to renew in the next 18 months, with current incumbents and confidence levels.
| # | Municipality / Agency | State | Type | Est. Renewal | Value | Current Incumbent | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Department of Energy | WA | Facility Operations | 2026-09-30 | $1.2B | Hanford Tank Waste Ops & Closure | High |
| 2 | Department of Energy | DC | Consulting & Studies | 2026-06-30 | $105.2M | Project Enhancement | High |
| 3 | Office of Asst. Sec. for Preparedness | TX | Collection & Hauling | 2026-09-24 | $100.8M | Inmar Rx Solutions | High |
| 4 | Chicago | IL | Processing & Recycling | 2026-10-31 | $95.9M | Republic Services | High |
| 5 | Nat'l Oceanic & Atmospheric Admin. | SC | Consulting & Studies | 2026-09-30 | $55.2M | Lynker | High |
| 6 | Department of Energy | AR | Transportation & Hauling | 2026-08-16 | $50.9M | Project Enhancement | High |
| 7 | Federal Acquisition Service | WI | Consulting & Studies | 2026-05-31 | $47.8M | Gryphon Environmental | High |
| 8 | Nat'l Oceanic & Atmospheric Admin. | MS | Consulting & Studies | 2026-06-30 | $37.4M | Lynker | High |
| 9 | Department of Energy | DC | Consulting & Studies | 2026-10-31 | $35.3M | Project Enhancement | High |
| 10 | Environmental Protection Agency | VA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-09-18 | $34.5M | SC&A | High |
| 11 | Environmental Protection Agency | MA | Consulting & Studies | 2027-02-15 | $29.6M | Eastern Research Group | High |
| 12 | Department of Energy | DC | Consulting & Studies | 2027-03-31 | $28.5M | Project Enhancement | High |
| 13 | Environmental Protection Agency | MA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-06-23 | $25.1M | The Cadmus Group | High |
| 14 | Department of the Army | FL | Transportation & Hauling | 2026-11-08 | $23.8M | Environmental Rail Solutions | High |
| 15 | Department of the Army | NJ | Consulting & Studies | 2026-08-08 | $21.4M | Sol Solutions | High |
| 16 | National Institutes of Health | MD | Collection & Hauling | 2026-04-30 | $19.4M | ACV Environmental Services | High |
| 17 | Environmental Protection Agency | MA | Consulting & Studies | 2027-02-27 | $18.8M | Eastern Research Group | High |
| 18 | Environmental Protection Agency | VA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-11-04 | $18.5M | General Dynamics IT | High |
| 19 | Chicago | IL | Collection & Hauling | 2026-12-31 | $18.5M | Standard Equipment | High |
| 20 | NASA | MD | Consulting & Studies | 2026-07-31 | $18.2M | Bluestone Environmental Group | High |
| 21 | Department of the Navy | CA | Consulting & Studies | 2027-09-30 | $15.8M | ManTech-AECOM JV | High |
| 22 | Department of the Army | MD | Consulting & Studies | 2027-08-13 | $15.0M | Renova-Sovereign JV | High |
| 23 | Environmental Protection Agency | AZ | Consulting & Studies | 2026-11-19 | $14.3M | Tetra Tech | High |
| 24 | Environmental Protection Agency | MA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-09-28 | $13.5M | Eastern Research Group | High |
| 25 | Office of Procurement Operations | NY | Facility Operations | 2027-01-07 | $12.6M | Merrick & Co. | High |
| 26 | Office of Procurement Operations | TX | Consulting & Studies | 2026-09-29 | $12.4M | Signature Science | High |
| 27 | Environmental Protection Agency | VA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-06-16 | $12.1M | General Dynamics IT | High |
| 28 | Chicago | IL | Collection & Hauling | 2026-12-31 | $11.8M | Federal Signal | High |
| 29 | Department of the Army | NM | Consulting & Studies | 2026-08-31 | $11.7M | Aerostar Environmental | High |
| 30 | Rural Housing Service | ID | Consulting & Studies | 2026-07-10 | $11.5M | Sundance Consultants | High |
| 31 | Department of the Army | CA | Facility Operations | 2026-12-31 | $11.2M | Aleut Environmental | High |
| 32 | Nat'l Oceanic & Atmospheric Admin. | WA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-12-20 | $11.0M | Research Planning | High |
| 33 | Offices, Boards and Divisions | MD | Consulting & Studies | 2026-09-30 | $10.8M | Melwood Horticultural | High |
| 34 | Public Buildings Service | DC | Collection & Hauling | 2026-06-30 | $10.5M | Greener Construction Services | High |
| 35 | Department of Energy | TX | Facility Operations | 2026-09-30 | $10.2M | Waste Control Specialists | High |
| 36 | Islip Resource Recovery Authority | NY | Facility Operations | 2026-05-31 | $10.0M | Clear Flo Technologies | High |
| 37 | Department of the Army | UT | Collection & Hauling | 2026-08-21 | $10.0M | Mellor Engineering | High |
| 38 | Department of the Army | AZ | Consulting & Studies | 2026-07-21 | $9.6M | Umyuaq Consulting Group | High |
| 39 | Nat'l Oceanic & Atmospheric Admin. | WA | Consulting & Studies | 2026-08-31 | $9.5M | Lynker | High |
| 40 | Departmental Offices | FL | Consulting & Studies | 2026-04-30 | $9.4M | NDN OTIE JV | High |
Incumbent Landscape
Top waste and environmental services companies by number of contracts approaching renewal.
| Company | Contracts | Combined Value |
|---|---|---|
| Contractors Landfill & Recycling | 291 | $83K |
| UniFirst | 269 | $10K |
| Environmental Management Services | 96 | $439K |
| Clean Harbors | 89 | $5.9M |
| Republic Services | 56 | $118.1M |
| Advant-Edge Solutions | 52 | $8.6M |
| NEIE Medical Waste Services | 51 | $11.6M |
| Maryland Environmental Service | 50 | $4.8M |
| Hamilton Alliance | 49 | $17.4M |
| Earth Smart Environmental Solutions | 47 | $15.8M |
| Apache Junction Landfill Corp. | 47 | $645K |
| Waste Management | 43 | $9.7M |
| Ecology Services | 42 | $2.0M |
| Tetra Tech | 42 | $106.5M |
| Unity Disposal & Recycling | 39 | $4.7M |
| Cintas | 38 | $11K |
| C&C Environmental | 37 | $4.8M |
| Salt River Landfill | 35 | $3.8M |
| Willow Environmental | 32 | $1.7M |
| EnergySolutions | 32 | $11.2M |
Built on the Wastenaut platform
This calendar is one slice of the procurement intelligence we maintain on every US municipality — incumbents, contract values, renewal cycles, and bid history. The same records — and the ability to filter by your service area and contract type — are available on demand through Nexus.
Aggregated from federal, state, and municipal procurement data. Predictions based on contract cycle analysis and historical renewal patterns. Published May 2026.